Monday, March 17, 2008

Testing Clinton’s Big-State Theory

clipped from
By most counts, Sen. Hillary Clinton trails Sen. Barack Obama in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination by more than 100 delegates. Yet Sen. Cinton argues that she’s leading in another important measure: big states. “I don’t think anyone doubts that a Democrat has to have a number of the big states anchored in order to put together the electoral votes needed to win,” Sen. Clinton said Saturday.
Campaign 2008
Her comment is based on her showing in the nine biggest states
But there are several problems with the big-state theory
First, several of those wins come with asterisks. Texas’s mixed primary-caucus system leaves that state a toss-up, and the January primaries in Florida and Michigan likely won’t be counted
The upshot: Sen. Clinton holds the delegate lead in only four of the big states
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